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RESEARCHREPORTS

CBOS Flash no. 26/2025

Presidential preferences in the first round of elections

Author: Agnieszka Cybulska
|
2025-04-28
The first round of the Polish presidential election is scheduled to take place this month, on May 18. In our latest survey from the second half of April, 73% of respondents were at least 99% likely to vote. If the first round of the election were to take place now, the largest proportion of declared voters would support the KO candidate Rafał Trzaskowski (31%, a 2-point drop since the beginning of April). His main rival, Karol Nawrocki supported by PiS, could count on the votes of just over a quarter of potential voters (27%, a 2-point increase). In third place is the candidate of the Confederation, Sławomir Mentzen, with 16% of supporters (a 1-point drop). The other candidates for the presidency enjoy much less support. Szymon Hołownia, designated by the Third Way, and left-wing candidates – Magdalena Biejat, representing the Left, which is part of the ruling coalition, and Adrian Zandberg, the candidate of the Razem party – would each receive 4% of the votes. Even fewer people would like to vote for Grzegorz Braun and Krzysztof Stanowski (2% each), while Marek Jakubiak, Artur Bartoszewicz and Joanna Senyszyn would only get 1% of the votes. Seven out of a hundred potential participants in the May vote do not know who they would vote for (7%).
Who would you like to vote for in the presidential election?
Who would you like to vote for in the presidential election?
More information about this topic can be found in CBOS Flash reports in Polish: “Preferences in presidential elections in the second half of March" and “Presidential preferences in the first round of elections”, April 2025. Fieldwork dates for the sample: April 2025, N=1001. The quota sample is representative for adult population of Poland.