Presidential preferences in the first round of elections
Author: Agnieszka Cybulska
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2025-04-28
The first round of the Polish presidential election is scheduled to take place this month, on May 18. In our latest survey from the second half of April, 73% of respondents were at least 99% likely to vote. If the first round of the election were to take place now, the largest proportion of declared voters would support the KO candidate Rafał Trzaskowski (31%, a 2-point drop since the beginning of April). His main rival, Karol Nawrocki supported by PiS, could count on the votes of just over a quarter of potential voters (27%, a 2-point increase). In third place is the candidate of the Confederation, Sławomir Mentzen, with 16% of supporters (a 1-point drop). The other candidates for the presidency enjoy much less support. Szymon Hołownia, designated by the Third Way, and left-wing candidates – Magdalena Biejat, representing the Left, which is part of the ruling coalition, and Adrian Zandberg, the candidate of the Razem party – would each receive 4% of the votes. Even fewer people would like to vote for Grzegorz Braun and Krzysztof Stanowski (2% each), while Marek Jakubiak, Artur Bartoszewicz and Joanna Senyszyn would only get 1% of the votes. Seven out of a hundred potential participants in the May vote do not know who they would vote for (7%).
Who would you like to vote for in the presidential election?

More information about this topic can be found in CBOS Flash reports in Polish: “Preferences in presidential elections in the second half of March" and “Presidential preferences in the first round of elections”, April 2025. Fieldwork dates for the sample: April 2025, N=1001. The quota sample is representative for adult population of Poland.