After two years, we have decided to ask again about Poland's relations with the United States, which is in many areas our key and strongest ally. Since Donald Trump was sworn in as US president earlier this year, a number of events have taken place that could have significantly affected the image of the United States in the eyes of Poles: the Trump administration attempted to end the war in Ukraine by making significant concessions to Russia and limiting support for Ukraine; imposed high trade tariffs on over 70 countries, including European Union Member States; suggested withdrawing or significantly reducing its involvement in NATO, which is the foundation of Poland's security; and finally, repeated announcements of the occupation of Greenland, which would potentially mean open conflict with European allies.

Compared to the measurement from two years ago - when President Joe Biden visited Warsaw and confirmed the US involvement on the side of Ukraine and NATO's eastern flank - there has been an almost 50-point drop in the percentage of positive assessments of Polish-American relations (from 80% in March 2023 to 31% currently). The percentage of ambivalent opinions increased from 14% to 52%, but the number of negative opinions also rose, from 1% to 10%. It is worth noting that the current results are not much better than those recorded by CBOS before 1989, when Poland was part of a bloc hostile to the US and subordinate to the USSR.

How do you assess the current Polish-American relations?

The percentage of Poles who consider the US influence on the world to be rather positive has also fallen to a record low, from 52% two years ago to 20% now. On the other hand, the share of those who consider it as rather negative has increased significantly from 6% to 29%. To a lesser extent, there has also been a rise in the number of people who answered "it depends" (from 28% to 33%) or consider the US influence to be "neither positive nor negative" (from 6% to 10%).

Overall, do you think the United States has a positive or negative influence on the world?

Finally, we asked about expectations related to the presidency of Donald Trump, in which many Poles – especially voters of the Confederation and Law and Justice – had pinned certain hopes before the election. As it turned out, it currently arouses fears in most respondents (60%). One-fifth declared indifference (19%), and one-seventh have hopes (14%).

How do you feel about Donald Trump's presidency?