Almost half of Poles still support accepting Ukrainian refugees (48%), while a slightly smaller percentage oppose this (46%). Notably, the proportion of those who strongly oppose has clearly surpassed those who strongly support (19% vs. 13%). These are the worst results in the history of our measurements, which began shortly after the annexation of Crimea over a decade ago. Right after the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine in early 2022, the percentage of Poles supporting the acceptance of Ukrainian refugees was as high as 94% and remained very high until mid-2023, when a more pronounced downward trend started.

Do you agree that Poland should accept Ukrainian refugees from the areas affected by the conflict?

More than half of Poles still support the goal of ending the Russian-Ukrainian war, even at the cost of Ukraine losing part of its territory or independence (54%). At the same time, since September 2025, there has been an increase in the percentage of respondents who believe that the fight should continue and no concessions should be made to Russia (from 28% in September 2025 to 33% now), with a drop in “don't know” answers. This may be related to the peace plan presented by the United States shortly before our measurement, which was unfavourable for Ukraine. It is worth noting that just over a year ago, support for uncompromising fight prevailed in Polish society. Although it was decreasing over time, a fundamental change occurred only after Donald Trump's election victory in the United States, when he promised to limit support for Ukrainian defence and decisively seek to end the conflict.

In your opinion, should the primary goal be…

Poles' predictions regarding the end of the war in Ukraine have become even more pessimistic. The majority of respondents assume that Ukraine will have to give up part of its territory (63%, an increase of 3 percentage points). Significantly, there has also been a clear increase in the percentage of Poles assuming that Russia will subjugate all of Ukraine (8%, an increase of 3 points), which had been marginal since the beginning of the war, typically remaining in the range of 2% to 4%. At the same time, the total percentage of positive forecasts for Ukraine has never been so low (8%, a decrease of 3 points): only 6% of respondents believe that Russia will withdraw from the territories attacked in 2022, and 2% believe it will also withdraw from those occupied in 2014.

How do you think the war will end?