Poles Increasingly Pessimistic about How the War in Ukraine Will End
Poles are now even more pessimistic about the war in Ukraine than they were in September 2025, with a majority of the people surveyed taking it for granted that Ukraine will have to give up some of its territory (63%, a rise of 3 points). Most significantly, there has been a marked increase in the percentage of Poles assuming that Russia will subjugate the whole of Ukraine. This has been a marginal opinion since the beginning of the war, usually 2-4% of respondents, but now stands at 8%, a rise of 3 points. Simultaneously, positive prognoses for Ukraine are at an all-time low of 8%, a drop of 3 points, with only 6% of respondents now thinking that Russia will retreat from territories it attacked in 2022, and a miniscule 2% believing this about land invaded in 2014.
