10/2024
2024-06-05
Are Polish People Preparing for War?
The CBOS March survey showed that over a half of Poles believe in the probability of an armed Russian attack on a NATO country within the next few years. In April CBOS looked at this in greater depth, asking respondents if they are making any sort of preparations for the possibility of a Russian attack. As it turns out, a majority of the people surveyed (62%) are not doing anything, although 18% of respondents were able to name one way in which they were preparing and one in nine (11%) could name two ways.
Those doing something to prepare most frequently reported checking recommendations about what you should do in the face of the outbreak of war (19%) and establishing the location of their nearest air raid shelters (18%). Every ninth respondent also declared they were collecting cash in the face of the potential threat (11%), while one in fourteen had participated in military training (7%) or was building up supplies of food, water, medications and other necessities (also 7%). Even fewer people mentioned moving to a place of safety abroad (4%) or at home (3%), or building up a stock of fuel (3%). Another 4% indicated other preparations, not on the CBOS list, the most frequent being learning to shoot or to administer first aid, or converting their cellar into an air raid shelter.
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The average number of methods of preparing for war indicated in the population as a whole totalled 0.75. This average was noticeably higher for men, for the youngest respondents, inhabitants of the biggest cities, the better-educated, those with the highest per capita income and those with left-wing views. When it comes to social and occupational profiles, a particularly high average could be seen among self-employed people, school and university students, managers and specialists with higher education.
More on this subject in the CBOS report.
This ‘Current Events and Problems’ survey (408) was conducted using a mixed-mode procedure on a representative sample of named adult residents of Poland, randomly selected from the National Identity Number (PESEL) register. Respondents independently selected one of the following methods: Computer Assisted Personal Interview (CAPI); Computer Assisted Telephone Interview (CATI), respondents receiving researchers’ telephone numbers in an introductory letter from CBOS; Computer Assisted Web Interview (CAWI), where respondents filled in the online questionnaire independently, gaining access by means of a login and password provided in an introductory letter from CBOS. In all three cases the questionnaire had the same structure and comprised the same questions. The survey was carried out between 8–18 April 2024 inclusive on a sample of 1079 people (63.8% using the CAPI method, 22.9% CATI and 13.3% CAWI). CBOS has been conducting statutory research using the above procedure since May 2020, stating in each case the percentage of personal, telephone and internet interviews.
