15/2015
2015-05-04
Predicted Results of the First Round of Presidential Elections
In the second half of April participation in the forthcoming election is declared by 73% of interviewees. However, actual turnout is usually much lower than the one declared in polls. Taking into account those discrepancies and various levels of confidence in voting participation among those declaring it, we estimate that to the polls will go about a half of those entitled to it.
There are no estimates for remaining candidates as none of interviewees declared their support for them.
Estimates were built on the survey "Current Problems and Events" conducted from 16 to 22 April 2015.