39/2022
2022-12-19
Different Scenarios for the End of the War in Ukraine
Since June there has been a steady increase in the number of Polish people convinced that the war will end favourably for Ukraine. The November survey confirms this trend: over a third of respondents (34%) maintained that Russia would withdraw from the Ukrainian territories it attacked. This is a jump of 8 percentage points on the previous survey and is a record result. Every fifth person surveyed (20%, up 3 points) thought that Russia would also withdraw from the territories it occupied in 2014.
|
More on this subject in the CBOS report.
This ‘Current Events and Problems’ survey (391) was conducted using a mixed-mode procedure on a representative sample of named adult residents of Poland, randomly selected from the National Identity Number (PESEL) register. Respondents independently selected one of the following methods: Computer Assisted Personal Interview (CAPI); Computer Assisted Telephone Interview (CATI), respondents receiving researchers’ telephone numbers in an introductory letter from CBOS; Computer Assisted Web Interview (CAWI), where respondents filled in the online questionnaire independently, gaining access by means of a login and password provided in an introductory letter from CBOS. In all three cases the questionnaire had the same structure and comprised the same questions. The survey was carried out between 7–17 November 2022 inclusive on a sample of 1038 people (58.5% using the CAPI method, 24% CATI and 17.5% CAWI). CBOS has been conducting statutory research using the above procedure since May 2020, stating in each case the percentage of personal, telephone and internet interviews.
